Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.229304 0.258644 0.289704 0.324975 0.363854 0.405338 0.452885
2025-07-27 0.191645 0.231559 0.276259 0.329813 0.392002 0.461709 0.545507
2025-08-03 0.165952 0.212836 0.267938 0.337011 0.420768 0.518504 0.640601
2025-08-10 0.147828 0.199953 0.263889 0.347258 0.452179 0.578866 0.742306
2025-08-17 0.128465 0.182743 0.252045 0.345776 0.467823 0.619812 0.821632
2025-08-24 0.113224 0.168799 0.242433 0.345403 0.483663 0.660656 0.901748
2025-08-31 0.100448 0.156543 0.233497 0.344496 0.497800 0.699037 0.979536
2025-09-07 0.092105 0.149463 0.230666 0.351089 0.521624 0.750478 1.075945
2025-09-14 0.083144 0.140422 0.224056 0.351477 0.536332 0.789695 1.156964
2025-09-21 0.075440 0.132403 0.218071 0.351971 0.550675 0.828434 1.238250
2025-09-28 0.068776 0.125273 0.212683 0.352668 0.564895 0.867077 1.320335
2025-10-05 0.063851 0.120415 0.210269 0.357435 0.584962 0.914418 1.416009
2025-10-12 0.060092 0.117338 0.210696 0.367026 0.613410 0.976054 1.536215
2025-10-19 0.055394 0.112157 0.207278 0.370228 0.632128 1.024056 1.638347
2025-10-26 0.051822 0.108589 0.206182 0.376961 0.656479 1.081218 1.755906
2025-11-02 0.049245 0.106559 0.207467 0.387552 0.687259 1.149083 1.891661
2025-11-09 0.044865 0.100657 0.201539 0.385549 0.697481 1.185569 1.980880
2025-11-16 0.041142 0.095613 0.196681 0.384934 0.709716 1.225357 2.076183
2025-11-23 0.037718 0.090781 0.191783 0.383825 0.720871 1.263587 2.170021
2025-11-30 0.035692 0.088606 0.191606 0.390992 0.746165 1.325074 2.302089
2025-12-07 0.033002 0.084723 0.187859 0.391383 0.759704 1.367837 2.405525
2025-12-14 0.030566 0.081118 0.184345 0.391905 0.773342 1.411029 2.510735
2025-12-21 0.028367 0.077792 0.181099 0.392659 0.787284 1.455013 2.618326